Early Forecast Predicts Above-Average 2018 Hurricane Season

The 2018 Hurricane Season Could Be As Eventful As 2017, According To Forecasters

Harvey wrecked Houston, Puerto Rico is still trying to recover from Irma, and Nate and Maria were, if less damaging, no less worrying.

Colorado State University predicts fourteen named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

That means more storms, and more severe storms, could form this year. Fugate also predicted that people are expecting a level of forecasting that just isn't there yet. Speaking to reporters last December, former director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency Craig Fugate stated, "Floridians must brace for storms that will be stronger, have longer periods at top speeds and bring more rain than in the past because of the changing climate".

An average Atlantic hurricane season produces 12 named storms of which six become hurricanes, three of them major.

Major Hurricanes: Storms that strengthen to winds of greater than 110 miles per hour (Category 3-5). With 17 named storms, it was the fifth-most active season since records began in 1851.

The First Alert Weather Team looks forward to keeping you informed this hurricane season.

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However, during last spring/summer, the waters warmed much faster than normal across most of the Atlantic, and by the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, the sea surface temperatures were much warmer than normal across most of the tropical Atlantic, providing increased fuel for the hurricanes that formed a year ago. If the trend continues this year, it will likely make conditions ripe for hurricanes, which feed off warm water. The reverse is true when La Niña, the opposite phase, prevails and the tropical Pacific waters are cool.

The main question is La Nina and El Nino.

"Spring is very volatile", Klotzbach said.

Klotzbach said in the wake of last year's disastrous hurricane season, which cost the United States economy an estimated $300 billion, energy industry players are seeking to harden their infrastructure to mitigate the potential damage from a repeat performance of last year's storm season.

Irma cut a path of destruction from St. Martin into Florida. It's considered among worst natural disasters to hit the islands. "It didnt have to", Klotzbach said.

However, the report's authors say there is considerable uncertainty regarding what those temperatures will be during the peak of the season, which the National Hurricane Center says runs from mid-August to late October.

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